New ask Hacker News story: Ask HN: Is Product Market Fit Just Luck?

Ask HN: Is Product Market Fit Just Luck?
4 by tmaly | 1 comments on Hacker News.
I you read some of the lean startup type books, you get the idea that you need to speak to customers first. Pat Flynn had this idea of making a market map in his book Will It Fly. I think this is similar to Amy Hoy's Sales Safari. The idea is to go around online forums and other places where users are having discussions. You look for pain points by certain keyword questions. These method works great when there is a forum and a good number of people discussing a problem. But if you recall the 1% rule, there are 99% of the people not talking online and contributing content. Rob Walling had another method where he used the Google Ad tools to gauge search volume. I am not sure if this really works anymore given changes to those tools. This makes me wonder if finding product market is really just luck. What is your take on this? Is it luck or are there better methods?

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